Track @thsottiaux for Codex resets and product updates.
Announcement status
Tibo quotes the directly linked reset announcement from the verified 28-day Codex/Work commitment and says the reset has fully propagated. The source does not give an exact completion time.
An announcement does not verify your account balance.
Source checked 10/10/2026, 22:53 · Server monitoring is active
TODAY’S ODDS
2026-10-10 · US Pacific time · until local midnight
An observed result is shown as a fact, not a 100% forecast.
Fit a log-normal model to up to 12 independent reset intervals, requiring at least 6. Given elapsed time t, compute [S(t) − S(t + hours left today)] / S(t). A minimum log-scale standard deviation reduces false certainty from tiny samples.
Using 11 intervals. The estimate is not backtested or calibrated. Percentages are hidden for stale data, insufficient samples, or elapsed times beyond 1.5 times the longest historical interval.
Deduplicated by X post ID; 16 records appear in multiple indexes, corroborating the same original posts. 2 classification disagreements are excluded from statistics.
Announcements · 0.7s
Updated 10/10/2026, 22:45Announcements · 0.1s
Updated 10/10/2026, 22:53Service context · 0.3s
Checked 10/10/2026, 22:53External model · 0.1s
Updated 10/10/2026, 22:53Official Codex service status: Published components operational · Context only; does not change reset odds.
Third-party estimate: Next 24h 19% · next 48h 34%
From codex-reset.com · Experimental, limited evidence; may incorporate announcement signals. Its horizon differs from the rest of today, so estimates are not blended or averaged.
Announcement data and reference forecast: ModelYard · codex-reset.com · OpenAI Status
SHIP OR RESET · 28 DAYS
2026-10-05 → 2026-11-01 · Pacific time
Recorded outcomes: 4/28 · 2 reset days · 2 update days · 1 banked-reset days
The 28 days start the day after the promise’s Pacific publication date; this is our interpretation. Cells group indexed posts by publication day, not account delivery day. Unconfirmed is not a missed day. Banked resets are kept separate from executed full resets.
Tibo quotes the directly linked reset announcement from the verified 28-day Codex/Work commitment and says the reset has fully propagated. The source does not give an exact completion time.
Put the reset in the bag. All propagated. https://t.co/HGxaD3Zdcj
HISTORICAL INSIGHTS
10/12/2026, 23:21 – 10/18/2026, 20:05
This is an interval-based reference, not Tibo’s commitment or a calibrated probability forecast.
Use up to 13 verified reset announcements, merging follow-ups within 12 hours. Show the median and 20th–80th percentile interval range. Banked resets and plans are excluded.
Announcement timestamps are not individual delivery times. Missing records and campaign changes affect the estimates. This window is not a probability interval.
| Previous | Next | Interval |
|---|---|---|
| 08/27/2026, 09:35 | 08/29/2026, 13:43 | 2.2 days |
| 08/29/2026, 13:43 | 08/30/2026, 19:29 | 1.2 days |
| 08/30/2026, 19:29 | 09/07/2026, 18:34 | 8.0 days |
| 09/07/2026, 18:34 | 09/12/2026, 01:09 | 4.3 days |
| 09/12/2026, 01:09 | 09/26/2026, 11:17 | 14.4 days |
| 09/26/2026, 11:17 | 10/02/2026, 14:18 | 6.1 days |
| 10/02/2026, 14:18 | 10/06/2026, 20:35 | 4.3 days |
| 10/06/2026, 20:35 | 10/10/2026, 21:01 | 4.0 days |
Post and filter dates: US Pacific time
Tibo quotes the directly linked reset announcement from the verified 28-day Codex/Work commitment and says the reset has fully propagated. The source does not give an exact completion time.
Put the reset in the bag. All propagated. https://t.co/HGxaD3Zdcj
Tibo announces a global reset by the end of the day as the reset outcome of the verified 28-day Codex/Work commitment. The source does not specify a timezone, and the announcement does not confirm completion.
Global reset by EOD. May the tokens do good things for you.
Tibo says composer predictions in the desktop app can suggest a likely next message and are included in Pro without consuming usage.
Day 5/ Composer predictions in the desktop app. Often leads to a double take with how on point they are. Included in the Pro plans without consuming usage. https://t.co/02dqoClrWn
Tibo states that Codex Cloud was silently re-shipped and describes it as "pretty good now," indicating a completed product change.
Day 3 (encore)/ We silently re-shipped codex cloud. It’s pretty good now https://t.co/Fau14sCke8
Tibo says the previously announced reset card should arrive by the end of the day in PST. This is an expected delivery window, not confirmation of receipt or redemption.
Will be there by EOD PST.
This tracks announcements from @thsottiaux. Check Codex for your own quota, plan eligibility and reset delivery.
Completed means a reset was announced as executed. Planned means a future reset. Banked resets are saved opportunities that users redeem themselves.
Forecasts use recorded announcement intervals, not an official schedule. They stop when data is stale or samples are insufficient. Expired windows are not moved forward automatically. Open the method to inspect the samples.
The server continues collecting announcements. Browser alerts require this page to stay open; an RSS reader can poll in the background.